State breakdown and Army-Splinter Rebellions

نویسندگان

چکیده

In Afghanistan, Libya, Liberia and beyond, armed rebellions have begun when armies fell apart. When does this occur? This paper conducts a large-N analysis of these army-splinter rebellions, distinct from both non-military below coups, using new data. It finds that they follow logic state breakdown focusing on regime characteristics (personalist regimes the loss superpower support at end Cold War) rather than drivers mass mobilization below. contrast, regime-level factors matter much less for dominate theorizing about civil war origins. also shows one option military rebels lies in not attempting coup but instead heading straight into rebellion. thus distinguishes highly different paths to conflict, validates approach why fall apart, extends well-known tradeoff between coups wars.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Conflict Resolution

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0022-0027', '1552-8766']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027221112030